Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Hertl 57.2% (-13.3%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 58.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Malkin
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
58.1% (823)
-12.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
56.2% (265)
-21.6%
On power play, Hertl has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hertl
Home
50.4% (113)
59.7% (561)
Away
39.4% (132)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Malkin
Hertl
P1
47.7%
51.6%
P2
44.9%
63.8%
P3
40.0%
58.6%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
35.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%