Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 56.9%
Defensive zone
Malkin 52.8%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 54.9%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Malkin
Toffoli
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Malkin
Toffoli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toffoli
0
1
Malkin
Toffoli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
41.2% (274)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
45.0% (40)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
26.3% (19)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Toffoli is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toffoli
Home
47.6% (5,395)
44.5% (155)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Malkin
Toffoli
P1
45.9%
47.4%
P2
46.2%
39.8%
P3
45.2%
32.9%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Tyler Toffoli |