Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Toffoli 50.9% (-9.0%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.9%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 61.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Malkin
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
62.5% (8)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Malkin shoots left. Toffoli is 77.8% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toffoli
Home
52.3% (438)
80.0% (5)
Away
46.2% (418)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Malkin
Toffoli
P1
51.3%
60.0%
P2
50.8%
75.0%
P3
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
58.3%