Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+20.7%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 63.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 55.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Malkin
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
25.0% (20)
+20.7%
On even strength, Malkin has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toffoli
Home
50.4% (113)
20.0% (10)
Away
39.4% (132)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Malkin
Toffoli
P1
47.7%
80.0%
P2
44.9%
14.3%
P3
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%