Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Toffoli 50.7% (-9.3%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 61.3%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 53.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Malkin
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
62.5% (24)
-18.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
33.3% (6)
-3.3%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Toffoli is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toffoli
Home
45.5% (202)
52.9% (17)
Away
41.4% (174)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Malkin
Toffoli
P1
48.4%
58.3%
P2
41.7%
50.0%
P3
40.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%