Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Toffoli 45.0% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.2%
Defensive zone
Malkin 63.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Malkin
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
39.0% (59)
+8.9%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
36.4% (11)
+30.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Toffoli is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toffoli
Home
49.6% (405)
35.1% (37)
Away
47.5% (396)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Malkin
Toffoli
P1
49.6%
46.4%
P2
47.2%
26.9%
P3
48.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
26.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
38.0%