Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Toffoli 50.8% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 61.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 54.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Malkin
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
56.5% (23)
-11.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Malkin shoots left. Toffoli is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Malkin
Toffoli
Home
47.5% (326)
41.7% (12)
Away
44.0% (307)
66.7% (12)
By Period
Malkin
Toffoli
P1
49.3%
53.8%
P2
44.7%
55.6%
P3
42.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
54.2%