Frederick Gaudreau vs Jordan Staal
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Staal 56.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Gaudreau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaudreau
Staal
Last 9: Gaudreau 5-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Gaudreau
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
58.9% (1,041)
-9.8%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
53.4% (73)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
49.1% (171)
-0.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Gaudreau shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Staal
Home
53.0% (483)
59.0% (578)
Away
46.7% (439)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Gaudreau
Staal
P1
53.5%
57.1%
P2
47.5%
60.9%
P3
49.5%
55.8%
OT
37.5%
20.8%
Final 5 min
45.4%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |