Frederick Gaudreau vs Jordan Staal
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Staal 54.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 50.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Gaudreau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Gaudreau
Staal
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Gaudreau
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
57.0% (1,017)
-7.8%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
57.7% (26)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
45.1% (286)
+0.9%
On power play, Staal has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Staal
Home
47.1% (546)
54.3% (667)
Away
49.4% (551)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Gaudreau
Staal
P1
46.8%
56.2%
P2
46.8%
57.0%
P3
51.1%
49.7%
OT
40.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |