Frederick Gaudreau vs Jordan Staal

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 48.4% vs Staal 54.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor Staal leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Gaudreau 50.4%
Defensive zone Staal 60.1%
Neutral zone Staal 55.2%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Gaudreau Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 5 (10 meetings)
5
5
Gaudreau Staal
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Staal

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Gaudreau Staal
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaudreau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
57.0% (1,017)
-7.8%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
57.7% (26)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
45.1% (286)
+0.9%
On power play, Staal has a +18.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Staal
Home
47.1% (546)
54.3% (667)
Away
49.4% (551)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Gaudreau
Staal
P1
46.8%
56.2%
P2
46.8%
57.0%
P3
51.1%
49.7%
OT
40.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%
44.5%
48.2%
Staal
46.0%
51.0%
54.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 6, 2025 3 03:44 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau
Feb 6, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Feb 6, 2025 2 10:45 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Feb 6, 2025 2 05:45 Defensive Jordan Staal
Feb 6, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Jan 4, 2025 3 13:23 Defensive Jordan Staal
Jan 4, 2025 3 06:57 Neutral Jordan Staal
Jan 4, 2025 3 02:57 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 4, 2025 3 00:13 Neutral Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 4, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal