Frederick Gaudreau vs Jordan Staal
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 64.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Gaudreau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudreau
Staal
Last 7: Gaudreau 4-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Gaudreau
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
56.3% (1,115)
-7.9%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
61.2% (67)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
52.1% (292)
-1.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Staal
Home
51.1% (507)
58.3% (705)
Away
47.4% (508)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Gaudreau
Staal
P1
49.4%
54.5%
P2
47.4%
58.2%
P3
51.2%
54.1%
OT
46.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |