Frederick Gaudreau vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 76.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Gaudreau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Gaudreau
Staal
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
7
Gaudreau
Staal
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
7
5
Gaudreau
Staal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
8
6
Gaudreau
Staal
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
55.9% (14,620)
-7.2%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
62.7% (1,745)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
48.0% (2,896)
-1.4%
On power play, Staal has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Staal
Home
49.2% (2,437)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Gaudreau
Staal
P1
49.7%
55.2%
P2
47.3%
55.9%
P3
49.1%
54.9%
OT
36.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |