Who wins more faceoffs, Frederick Gaudreau or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon leads the head-to-head 5-3 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Frederick Gaudreau's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Frederick Gaudreau is 3-5 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-0, Defensive 2-2, Neutral 0-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Frederick Gaudreau or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 62.5% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Frederick Gaudreau vs Nathan MacKinnon

Frederick GaudreauR vs Nathan MacKinnonR

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 50.0% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+4.6%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 62.7%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 61.7%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 63.6%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.5%

37.5%

62.5%

Gaudreau MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 5 (8 meetings)

Gaudreau MacKinnon

Last 8: Gaudreau 3-5 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Gaudreau

Gaudreau MacKinnon

1 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Gaudreau MacKinnon

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: MacKinnon

Gaudreau MacKinnon

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Gaudreau

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

49.1% (733)

45.8% (755)

+3.3%

Power Play

60.0% (80)

48.3% (60)

+11.7%

Penalty Kill

48.6% (109)

27.6% (29)

+21.0%

On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +21.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (284).

Gaudreau shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).

Home / Away

Gaudreau

MacKinnon

Home

53.0% (483)

49.5% (396)

Away

46.7% (439)

41.7% (448)

By Period

Gaudreau

MacKinnon

53.5%

50.2%

47.5%

43.8%

49.5%

41.4%

37.5%

66.7%

Final 5 min

45.4%

41.0%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Gaudreau

34.0%▼

44.5%

50.0%

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

45.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 17, 2022	3	12:57	Offensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 17, 2022	3	08:53	Defensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Jan 17, 2022	1	15:57	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 30, 2021	3	17:31	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 30, 2021	2	11:37	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 30, 2021	1	10:26	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 30, 2021	1	10:19	Defensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Oct 30, 2021	1	06:56	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon

Gaudreau's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile