Frederick Gaudreau vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 52.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 74.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 69.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Gaudreau
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gaudreau
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
44.7% (1,053)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
36.8% (95)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
65.0% (20)
-14.7%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Gaudreau shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
MacKinnon
Home
51.1% (507)
49.4% (553)
Away
47.4% (508)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Gaudreau
MacKinnon
P1
49.4%
45.3%
P2
47.4%
42.7%
P3
51.2%
45.1%
OT
46.2%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |