Frederick Gaudreau vs Tommy Novak
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Novak 46.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 73.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 54.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Gaudreau
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaudreau
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Gaudreau
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
43.2% (118)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
47.8% (23)
+12.2%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Gaudreau shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Novak
Home
53.0% (483)
50.7% (71)
Away
46.7% (439)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Gaudreau
Novak
P1
53.5%
44.7%
P2
47.5%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
38.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |