Frederick Gaudreau vs Tommy Novak
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Novak 43.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 63.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Gaudreau
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gaudreau
Novak
Last 6: Gaudreau 4-2 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Gaudreau
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Novak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
40.7% (460)
+8.3%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
61.5% (39)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
0.0% (1)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Novak
Home
50.8% (319)
47.0% (236)
Away
48.7% (228)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Gaudreau
Novak
P1
53.4%
43.1%
P2
47.4%
43.1%
P3
50.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |