Frederick Gaudreau vs Tommy Novak
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.7% vs 41.8%). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Novak 43.4% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 83.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 83.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Gaudreau
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
41.4% (379)
+3.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
46.9% (32)
-15.1%
On power play, Novak has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Novak
Home
42.6% (277)
42.6% (195)
Away
42.9% (259)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Gaudreau
Novak
P1
43.8%
42.4%
P2
44.8%
39.2%
P3
39.2%
44.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%