Frederick Gaudreau vs Tommy Novak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Novak 43.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 55.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 90.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 74.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Gaudreau
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Gaudreau
Novak
Last 10: Gaudreau 7-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Gaudreau
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
1
Gaudreau
Novak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
2
Gaudreau
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
42.1% (1,539)
+6.6%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
51.9% (133)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
50.0% (2)
-3.4%
On even strength, Gaudreau has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Novak
Home
49.2% (2,437)
45.3% (814)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Gaudreau
Novak
P1
49.7%
43.9%
P2
47.3%
42.8%
P3
49.1%
41.7%
OT
36.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |