Frederick Gaudreau vs Tommy Novak
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Novak 45.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 52.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 83.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 63.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Gaudreau
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Gaudreau
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
42.9% (198)
+6.3%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
40.9% (22)
-1.9%
On even strength, Gaudreau has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Novak
Home
47.1% (546)
40.9% (110)
Away
49.4% (551)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Gaudreau
Novak
P1
46.8%
39.1%
P2
46.8%
43.9%
P3
51.1%
44.9%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |