Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.5% vs Roy 46.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Vilardi leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 55.0%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 54.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.9%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Vilardi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Vilardi
Roy
Last 10: Vilardi 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
2
Vilardi
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
1
Vilardi
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Vilardi
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (564)
41.5% (275)
+3.7%
Power Play
53.3% (45)
81.8% (11)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
61.3% (31)
-13.3%
On power play, Roy has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Vilardi is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Vilardi shoots right. Roy is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Roy
Home
47.3% (330)
46.1% (167)
Away
44.4% (304)
43.3% (150)
By Period
Vilardi
Roy
P1
49.0%
46.7%
P2
43.2%
38.5%
P3
45.7%
50.5%
Final 5 min
48.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |