Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Roy 48.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Vilardi leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 66.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Vilardi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Vilardi
Roy
Last 10: Vilardi 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
5
2
Vilardi
Roy
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
4
1
Vilardi
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
4
Vilardi
Roy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,053)
48.7% (3,719)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.3% (195)
49.5% (283)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
45.5% (477)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Vilardi is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Vilardi shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Roy
Home
47.2% (659)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
46.1% (616)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Vilardi
Roy
P1
49.6%
50.8%
P2
43.7%
46.3%
P3
46.8%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |