Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Roy 51.9% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 85.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 86.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Vilardi
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (69)
51.9% (547)
-9.9%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Vilardi is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Vilardi shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Roy
Home
40.8% (49)
54.0% (328)
Away
46.7% (45)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Vilardi
Roy
P1
50.0%
53.5%
P2
37.1%
51.6%
P3
43.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%