Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs Roy 47.2% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 71.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Vilardi
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
47.5% (617)
+8.6%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
39.6% (53)
-17.4%
On power play, Roy has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Vilardi is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Vilardi shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Roy
Home
46.9% (32)
47.2% (398)
Away
44.4% (27)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Vilardi
Roy
P1
57.1%
48.6%
P2
40.0%
48.8%
P3
38.5%
43.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%