Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Roy 48.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 60.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Vilardi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Vilardi
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Vilardi
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
49.5% (746)
-3.0%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
50.7% (75)
-7.4%
On power play, Roy has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Vilardi is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Vilardi shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Roy
Home
51.6% (64)
47.7% (491)
Away
40.3% (67)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Vilardi
Roy
P1
48.9%
51.1%
P2
42.9%
44.6%
P3
45.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
41.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |