Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.9% vs Roy 48.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 78.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.0%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Vilardi
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Vilardi
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
2
0
Vilardi
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (81)
48.3% (633)
-3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
52.1% (48)
-2.1%
On even strength, Roy has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Vilardi is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Vilardi shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Roy
Home
44.8% (58)
50.8% (376)
Away
47.3% (55)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Vilardi
Roy
P1
41.7%
53.8%
P2
55.6%
43.5%
P3
42.9%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |