Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.6% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 64.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 72.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Vilardi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (53)
54.6% (669)
-7.4%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
57.3% (171)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.3% (87)
-56.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vilardi is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Vilardi shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Home
43.2% (37)
56.4% (486)
Away
50.0% (36)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Vilardi
O'Reilly
P1
55.2%
55.3%
P2
39.3%
53.4%
P3
43.8%
56.9%
Final 5 min
60.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
46.0%▬
46.0%
46.6%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%