Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 68.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 78.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Vilardi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (69)
55.4% (826)
-13.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
57.9% (221)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.4% (129)
-50.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +50.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vilardi is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Vilardi shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Home
40.8% (49)
55.8% (579)
Away
46.7% (45)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Vilardi
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
37.1%
54.8%
P3
43.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%