Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 70.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 79.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Vilardi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (81)
56.1% (690)
-11.7%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
64.6% (96)
-14.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vilardi is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Vilardi shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Home
44.8% (58)
58.3% (408)
Away
47.3% (55)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Vilardi
O'Reilly
P1
41.7%
57.7%
P2
55.6%
54.8%
P3
42.9%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%