Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 63.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 58.4%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 51.4%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Vilardi
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Vilardi
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
56.6% (1,064)
-10.1%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
60.4% (260)
-17.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vilardi is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Vilardi shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Home
51.6% (64)
54.9% (801)
Away
40.3% (67)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Vilardi
O'Reilly
P1
48.9%
58.0%
P2
42.9%
56.7%
P3
45.2%
55.4%
Final 5 min
41.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |