Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Vilardi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
55.0% (1,084)
+1.1%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
56.8% (303)
-34.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vilardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Vilardi shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Home
46.9% (32)
54.8% (759)
Away
44.4% (27)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Vilardi
O'Reilly
P1
57.1%
55.3%
P2
40.0%
51.9%
P3
38.5%
54.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%