Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Paul 50.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 61.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 57.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 69.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Lundeström
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lundeström
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Lundeström
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
53.0% (644)
-7.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
37.5% (24)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
42.9% (177)
-6.4%
On power play, Lundeström has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Paul
Home
45.8% (428)
52.5% (516)
Away
43.2% (451)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Lundeström
Paul
P1
48.6%
47.6%
P2
46.5%
48.4%
P3
37.8%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |