Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.9% vs Paul 53.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 66.8%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 77.9%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 71.5%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Lundeström
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lundeström
Paul
Last 8: Lundeström 2-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Lundeström
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Lundeström
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (554)
53.8% (753)
-6.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
58.9% (90)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
47.4% (78)
-1.1%
On even strength, Paul has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundeström is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lundeström shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Paul
Home
47.4% (266)
54.2% (450)
Away
47.6% (336)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Lundeström
Paul
P1
54.5%
58.2%
P2
44.4%
50.6%
P3
44.6%
52.9%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |