Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Paul 50.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 71.3%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 79.9%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 60.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Lundeström
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lundeström
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Lundeström
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
48.8% (666)
+1.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
53.8% (65)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
60.0% (55)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Paul
Home
48.4% (504)
49.7% (348)
Away
45.8% (432)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Lundeström
Paul
P1
50.2%
51.0%
P2
43.5%
47.4%
P3
47.8%
51.5%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |