Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 46.5% vs Paul 52.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundeström 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 77.6%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 68.2%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Lundeström
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Lundeström
Paul
Last 10: Lundeström 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
11
Lundeström
Paul
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
5
0
Lundeström
Paul
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
4
3
Lundeström
Paul
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,987)
52.5% (3,796)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.4% (74)
56.5% (480)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (582)
46.7% (574)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundeström is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,460).
Lundeström shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Paul
Home
47.0% (1,826)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
45.8% (1,817)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Lundeström
Paul
P1
49.2%
53.9%
P2
45.6%
51.0%
P3
44.5%
52.0%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |