Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Paul 53.9% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 67.6%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 70.1%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 61.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Lundeström
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lundeström
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Lundeström
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
53.1% (710)
-5.3%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
57.3% (199)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
58.0% (69)
-23.2%
On power play, Paul has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Lundeström shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Paul
Home
46.3% (190)
56.0% (466)
Away
41.8% (196)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Lundeström
Paul
P1
40.2%
57.2%
P2
44.3%
54.9%
P3
47.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
37.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |