Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 61.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 65.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Lundeström
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lundeström
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (554)
56.1% (716)
-8.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
67.7% (31)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
51.1% (133)
-4.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lundeström is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lundeström shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Sturm
Home
47.4% (266)
55.6% (412)
Away
47.6% (336)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Lundeström
Sturm
P1
54.5%
59.6%
P2
44.4%
52.0%
P3
44.6%
55.5%
OT
36.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | OT | 00:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |