Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Sturm 57.1% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 68.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 75.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Lundeström
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundeström
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Lundeström
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
62.1% (356)
-11.8%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
75.0% (4)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
38.7% (62)
+1.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Sturm
Home
48.4% (504)
61.8% (191)
Away
45.8% (432)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Lundeström
Sturm
P1
50.2%
58.0%
P2
43.5%
57.9%
P3
47.8%
60.6%
Final 5 min
43.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |