Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 46.5% vs Sturm 56.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Lundeström leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 77.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 81.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 76.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Lundeström
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Lundeström
Sturm
Last 10: Lundeström 6-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
5
1
Lundeström
Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundeström
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Lundeström
Sturm
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,987)
57.1% (2,719)
-9.8%
Power Play
51.4% (74)
61.3% (62)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (582)
51.0% (498)
-9.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lundeström is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,460).
Lundeström shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Sturm
Home
47.0% (1,826)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
45.8% (1,817)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Lundeström
Sturm
P1
49.2%
56.5%
P2
45.6%
54.9%
P3
44.5%
57.4%
OT
45.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 5, 2022 | OT | 00:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| May 7, 2021 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |