Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Sturm 59.0% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 87.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 85.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 69.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Lundeström
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lundeström
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
60.6% (708)
-12.8%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
61.1% (18)
-29.8%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
56.4% (101)
-21.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Lundeström shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Sturm
Home
46.3% (190)
61.6% (451)
Away
41.8% (196)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Lundeström
Sturm
P1
40.2%
55.9%
P2
44.3%
58.9%
P3
47.4%
64.6%
Final 5 min
37.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.0%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |