Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.2% vs Sturm 53.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 62.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 58.3%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 51.0%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Lundeström
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundeström
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Lundeström
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (209)
54.6% (271)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
54.4% (90)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Lundeström shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Sturm
Home
50.0% (136)
53.0% (168)
Away
57.3% (103)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Lundeström
Sturm
P1
53.2%
58.2%
P2
54.8%
53.2%
P3
51.9%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |