Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.1% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.2%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 65.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Lundeström
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (184)
54.6% (669)
-0.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.3% (171)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
56.3% (87)
-11.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lundeström is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Lundeström shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Home
51.3% (115)
56.4% (486)
Away
55.4% (92)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Lundeström
O'Reilly
P1
52.5%
55.3%
P2
54.1%
53.4%
P3
53.4%
56.9%
OT
0.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.1%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |