Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 93.0%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 70.6%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lundeström 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
8
Lundeström
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
7
0
Lundeström
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Lundeström
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
56.2% (983)
-5.9%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
55.5% (254)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
52.0% (102)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Home
48.4% (504)
56.2% (697)
Away
45.8% (432)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Lundeström
O'Reilly
P1
50.2%
54.5%
P2
43.5%
55.5%
P3
47.8%
57.1%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:51 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |