Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.6%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 74.4%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 51.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 82.6%
17.4%
82.6%
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.2%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
56.8% (303)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
40.3% (149)
-5.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Lundeström shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Home
46.3% (190)
54.8% (759)
Away
41.8% (196)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Lundeström
O'Reilly
P1
40.2%
55.3%
P2
44.3%
51.9%
P3
47.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
37.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |