Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 70.5%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 69.8%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Lundeström
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (554)
56.1% (690)
-8.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
64.6% (96)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
45.9% (109)
+0.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lundeström is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lundeström shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Home
47.4% (266)
58.3% (408)
Away
47.6% (336)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Lundeström
O'Reilly
P1
54.5%
57.7%
P2
44.4%
54.8%
P3
44.6%
55.2%
OT
36.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |