Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.9%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 64.3%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 55.4%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Last 5: Lundeström 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Lundeström
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
56.6% (1,064)
-11.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.4% (260)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
54.0% (261)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Home
45.8% (428)
54.9% (801)
Away
43.2% (451)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Lundeström
O'Reilly
P1
48.6%
58.0%
P2
46.5%
56.7%
P3
37.8%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |