Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 48.0% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Lundeström leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 76.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Last 10: Lundeström 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
5
2
Lundeström
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
6
4
Lundeström
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
6
Lundeström
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (366)
58.6% (841)
-12.2%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
59.9% (207)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
58.1% (148)
+8.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lundeström is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Lundeström shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Lundeström
O'Reilly
Home
46.9% (192)
59.8% (594)
Away
48.1% (206)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Lundeström
O'Reilly
P1
48.1%
61.7%
P2
50.4%
56.2%
P3
45.6%
59.5%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 28, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |