Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Hertl 52.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 81.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 50.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 67.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Lundeström
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Lundeström
Hertl
Last 9: Lundeström 5-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundeström
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundeström
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
51.6% (1,084)
-6.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.0% (246)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
44.1% (136)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Hertl
Home
45.8% (428)
55.2% (696)
Away
43.2% (451)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Lundeström
Hertl
P1
48.6%
55.4%
P2
46.5%
54.8%
P3
37.8%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |