Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Lundeström leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 92.5%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 70.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Lundeström
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Lundeström
Hertl
Last 10: Lundeström 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Lundeström
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
0
Lundeström
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
4
1
Lundeström
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (554)
54.1% (1,117)
-6.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
59.8% (296)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
34.4% (32)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundeström is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lundeström shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Hertl
Home
47.4% (266)
54.3% (709)
Away
47.6% (336)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Lundeström
Hertl
P1
54.5%
51.6%
P2
44.4%
53.6%
P3
44.6%
58.6%
OT
36.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |