Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Hertl 55.4% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 84.6%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 89.4%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 57.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Lundeström
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Lundeström
Hertl
Last 10: Lundeström 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
8
Lundeström
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
5
0
Lundeström
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
54.1% (717)
-3.8%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
61.9% (210)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
58.1% (31)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Hertl
Home
48.4% (504)
58.1% (492)
Away
45.8% (432)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Lundeström
Hertl
P1
50.2%
57.1%
P2
43.5%
54.0%
P3
47.8%
56.6%
OT
71.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |