Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.2% vs Hertl 57.2% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 78.8%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 77.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Lundeström
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (209)
58.1% (823)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.2% (265)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Lundeström shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Hertl
Home
50.0% (136)
59.7% (561)
Away
57.3% (103)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Lundeström
Hertl
P1
53.2%
51.6%
P2
54.8%
63.8%
P3
51.9%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%