Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Duchene 52.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 82.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 50.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Compher
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Compher
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Compher
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (471)
46.9% (162)
+5.3%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
73.2% (56)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
100.0% (2)
-58.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +58.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Compher shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Compher
Duchene
Home
54.4% (362)
58.4% (125)
Away
47.8% (295)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Compher
Duchene
P1
49.6%
56.9%
P2
53.6%
52.5%
P3
51.4%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |